A Take on the Avaya Enterprise Deal

Here’s a guest post from Jeff Wiener, who runs Digitcom, a telecom equipment reseller. Jeff also writes The Telecom Blog, one of Canada’s leading telecom-focused.

It’s been a long downhill battle for the last many years. Nortel has been languishing in the business sector, their prized business hampered by years of poor management and financial crisis. It’s a rather unfortunate end for Nortel, the staff, customers, dealers, and the Telecom market in general.

But, every cloud has a silver lining.

The Silver Lining: Every industry needs healthy competition, and Nortel brought that in spades for many years. Healthy competition spurs innovation, lower prices, and a spirit to win. At this point Avaya’s purchasing Nortel is a reflection of the consolidation happening in the marketplace, making way for Telecom 2.0 and the changes to come. On one side, competition is healthy, and one the other, so is consolidation; It will make way for stronger players in the CPE space. That’s the silver lining.

Nortel was a Canadian telecom institution. Actually, Nortel was a telecom powerhouse. And there isn’t much more Nortel left to go around, especially with today’s announcement that Nortel’s enterprise business unit has been sold to Avaya for US$900 million in cash, with an additional pool of US$15 million reserved for an employee retention program.

The Nortel business units left are Metro Ethernet Networks (MEN), the carrier business (including VoIP), the stake in the Nortel-LG joint venture, and the LTE patents, which weren’t part of the Ericsson deal.

Some of the main highlights of this deal include:

– Nortel will sell the assets of the Enterprise Solutions Business, and shares of Nortel Government Solutions and DiamondWare to Avaya
– Avaya to Pay US$900 Million in Cash to Nortel, with an Additional Pool of US$15 Million Reserved for an Employee Retention Program
– Canadian and U.S. Court Approvals of Sale will be Sought at a Joint Hearing on September 15

It’s hard not to be somewhat nostalgic about the sale of the enterprise division, especially given it’s business history. Nortel’s origins date back to 1882 as a manufacturing arm for the Bell Telephone Company of Canada, and they were incorporated as a separate company in 1895 known at the time as Northern Electric.

Unfortunately, both Nortel, and their technology has been lagging in the market for some time – quite a difference from only a decade ago when Nortel was the largest company by market CAP in Canada, their shares making up over 25% of the Toronto Stock Exchange’s main composite index.

In the last few years, Nortel began losing market share, and now Avaya needs to stem that tide, consolidate business operations, and hopefully for Avaya, remain profitable. In the best of times this is a huge task. Under these circumstances, GARGANTUAN.

Avaya is a large telecom player, and it certainly has the resources and brains to make this a success – it won’t be an easy task though.

Something about this auction process that has me somewhat surprised is Cisco’s lack of presence or mention at the bargaining table. Cisco is the undisputed worldwide leader in voice and data technology. At one time Nortel was their biggest competitor. And it seems that Cisco has almost ceded their fate into someone else’s hands.

With the addition of Nortel, Avaya is now the number #1 voice player, by far, and now has control over Nortel’s switches and routers, clearly stepping into Cisco’s sandbox. Clearly the folks at Cisco were aware of this. I suspect they decided to let Avaya take control over this asset, mess it up, and then clean up the mess. I can’t think of any other reason why they weren’t at the table.

Either way, today marks the end of a telecom dynasty, and the beginning of a new one.

What are your thoughts ? Is this a good move for Avaya ?

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  • test
  • GoProto
    Is this a good move for Avaya ?
    ---------------------------------------------
    Interesting post on no jitter regarding the upside of the sale for AVAYA:

    http://www.nojitter.com/blog/archives/2009/09/a...
  • GoProto
    So is the VZ objection a dead issue now? I hope so. Personally I can't stand them or their bid'ness tactics.
  • PM_Guy
    Nope they still have put in a formal objection to the sale to be heard tomorrow in court. Appears to be around a patent suit again't them for which Nortel would be on the hook for if they were too loose. Avaya does not and will not take on that liablity.
  • GoProto
    Just to add more $ to the mounting NT sh*tpile.
    Line up here --- . Take a Number.
    We'll call you in a couple of years after all the Lawyers and Accountants have retired on your dollars and are safely esconced on some beach sipping Mojitos.
  • smokeemout
    1. It does make a compelling alternative to the current competitor (Cisco) who is teetering on anti-trust in the data market. if they bought Nortel, they would invite severe scrutiny... and calls from competition to investigate...

    2. Cisco normally would not buy into a market segment they already have competitiveness in, and they could watch SEN twist in the wind and buy them to get comparable market share increase outside NA. two years, who knows?

    3. Avaya and Nortel could execute as each has lost their burdensome luggage-(old-Lucent and old Nortel).


    4. Customers. Get a powerful alternative.

    5. Hardware partners, Extreme and Juniper, will simply need to compete. A when and where it makes sense policy would go into affect. Even a merger is a possibility.

    6. Retention bonuses. This could also go to service and support folks; typically looking to stay on or move to other locations to centrallizing and training the next generation support. Been done before for years, Alcatel did this with Newbridge. Typically those folks get the pick of jobs after their year of retention service is up- 25/50 or 100% of their base...

    7. SEN. They could be consolidated in the future as well to create a super-number 2, to go against Cisco. kind of, eat Nortel now, eat SEN later. who knows...


    8. No where does it say Cisco will not ever suffer, and no where does it say they are immune to anything. No where does it say this was worth them getting interested because it will only invite anti trusts issues for them. They are a smart company, and that would have been a stupid move.

    8a. Just because Nortel eneterprise had difficulty executing on some levels, doesn't mean the new company will. It could be liberating to them.

    9. Cisco likley does not see this as a threat, and would address it when it does become one.

    10. It is a billion dollars roughly, Cisco could spend a billion on 4 other companies and fill out their catologue even more so, and be in 4 extra markets- it makes them more flexible in revenue generation. So it could have simply been, just a choice.

    I'd love to take a cycnical view, but this is good news for all sides. The customer gets 2 strong vendors (Avaya and Cisco), with no interest of collusion, and 2 strong portfolios with competition preserved for the forseeable future.

    Avaya has former Cisco execs as management and the sales teams of each piece, NT and Avaya, get that benefit. No more surviving by the thousand cuts, just good business begetting more business.

    Time will tell.
  • protosphere
    OK so what is left after this sale?

    simple maths says
    Around $2B assets sold to Ericsson and Avaya
    LG=1B?
    MENs=1B?
    patents=1B?
    is cash still around 2B?

    ..at best and if sold, $7B to pay secured creditors first but only after the taxman's new $3B looming liability leaving $4B at very best

    At around4B at a wishful very best, this isn't 4 out of 15B dent as a percentage to be paid because secured stakeholders get paid first to take away from this, as do legals fees, ins. premiums, bonuses, etc., that also get paid first. Nice of Avaya to pay $15M retention bonuses to keep the cancer alive. That's nuts. Hysterical.

    Anyways, what is left for growing list of unsecured creditors like employeest? What will secured creditors /bondholders get vs. unsecured creditors. Anyone know?

    Who benefits from getting most in these assets by cutting severances? Their big business creditors they sought to appease?

    Does the court decide who gets what percentage after all is said and done? Surely they will find a way to squeeze some more money out it somewhere, maybe a rentention bone us here and there just for laughs or to add insult to injury when they should have paid their employees first and foremost than their big business pals.

    Retention bone us, do you believe that? Enough bonuses already, our ribs hurt, the punch lines never cease, you're killing us already. Uncle...uncle...
  • Darth_Zman
    Guess you missed CVAS on purpose?

    CVAS is at least $1.5bn
  • scalppeeler
    All the answers to your questions about who gets how much should be very clear in about a year and a half when the cheques get cut for ex-employees.
    They are at the end of the line along with ontario pensioners.
  • voicecustomer
    Cisco has had a long standing policy that it dosn't buy competors to get rid of them. Besides, Anyone who buys wellfleet ends up in trouble. look at Synoptics, When from #1 to the middle and now Nortel, from #1 to #3. What is it going to do to Avaya,

    Where Still #3.
  • NT_NoMo
    "What are your thoughts ? Is this a good move for Avaya ?"

    Well this should get interesting. Avaya has partnered up with numerous "Infrastructure" players (Extreme, Brocade, Juniper, HP, etc) to provide an end to end solution to customers and to keep Cisco out of their accounts (the enemy of my enemy is my friend)

    What will be interesting now is to see what Avaya does with the NT infrastructure portfolio (switching/routing etc). Will they lead with it, at the expense of their relationships with Infrastructure players or will they keep it at home (like an ugly sister).

    Being that both Avaya and NT are culturally "bell-heads" I suspect it will be the latter.
  • MilanBekich
    "Either way, today marks the end of a telecom dynasty, and the beginning of a new one."

    If you believe this you have been smoking something other than Wieners Jeff.
  • stillhangin
    Cisco just may have recognized that a deal with Nortel Enterprise would never get passed regulatory approval - or if it did, it would take way too long to make it a worthwhile deal - if they saw any value in it at all in the first place.
  • FormerBayGuy
    Cisco didn't need to get in the ring to bid on Nortel. Clash of cultures and Cisco normally doesn't look to swallow companies that big anyways. They are simply betting on the fact that the marrying of two old school telecom mentalities will not pose any serious threat to their business.

    Avaya is really more looking towards their IPO (next year, perhaps). #1 in VoIP/UC and one of the few to be a single source networking vendor for customers (some larger customers mandate this in their RFPs). And they will no doubt pitch it as "they are the only real competitor to Cisco."

    When you look at it like this, it makes perfect sense why things unfolded the way they did.
  • GoProto
    "Avaya is really more looking towards their IPO (next year, perhaps)"
    "When you look at it like this, it makes perfect sense why things unfolded the way they did"
    ----------------------------------------
    Agreed, on both accounts. Remember that SilverLake had an agenda (IPO) for buying Avaya all along. This has alot more to do with their planned course of action than the Persona of a Brand Name (Avaya) throwing their competitive weight against Cisco. I do think however that due to recent downturns they will probably be re-thinking the original time frame for the IPO.
  • protosphere
    As Nortel melts into the abyss... leaving defrauded shareholders tearfully looking at their settlement shares.

    Over 60,000 jobs gone and $300B cap since 2000 when it accounted for 25% of the TSX. Unfathomable number of untold nightmares.

    A Canadian legacy having migrated from an innovated pioneer to a financial powerhouse that just couldn't shake the leaching.

    Only fraud trials loom after all is said and dunn... along with memories of Bre-X, Enron, Worlcom, etc....
  • NortelEmp
    What did Avaya actually buy? A deflated workforce, some OEM products that can (these days) easily be replicated by other suppliers, a frustrated end customer, a doubting group of channel partners. As proto said, Cisco's absense is a good sign that they felt there was nothing there to salvage. The business sector has moved on. Nortel's woes of the past few years have hurt its ability to innovate at a fast enough pace. Avaya bought some old news. Hopefully (for the sake of employees) they can turn it into good news.
  • gmg733
    Cisco was most likely absent because they knew it would be holy hell getting approved by the courts. What I agree with more is they didn't need Nortel. Even Cisco's worst manager is better than the top level at Nortel.
  • protosphere
    This article mirrors my sentiments precisely.

    _______________________________________________________

    "In the last few years, Nortel began losing market share, and now Avaya needs to stem that tide, consolidate business operations, and hopefully for Avaya, remain profitable. In the best of times this is a huge task. Under these circumstances, GARGANTUAN."

    "Avaya is a large telecom player, and it certainly has the resources and brains to make this a success – it won’t be an easy task though. "

    "Clearly the folks at Cisco were aware of this. I suspect they decided to let Avaya take control over this asset, mess it up, and then clean up the mess. I can’t think of any other reason why they weren’t at the table."

    _______________________________________________________

    Nortel and Cisco use to spit at each other behind closed doors when Nortel was a formidable payer. After the accounting malfeasance and talks about others acquiring Nortel, Chambers took the high road on ROB-TV praising Nortel's engineers and was shy to finally state after repeated questioning that he had no interest in acquiring ANY PART of Nortel.

    Nortel slandered ex-Cisco Gary Daichendt after he abruptly departed, even slandered their energy consumption calling it a Green Tax when it was no tax at all let alone worthy of this when comparing equal work.

    Nortel has done alone to copulate things up as we have witnessed reiterated in the news. I feel Avaya has acquired Nortel's woes for a short lived marketshare. A bad gamble from inception... like Nortel buying PEC for $448M and woth less than half so shortly thereafter.

    Cisco will continue to dominate market if it isn't evident enough by their lack of participation in the bidding process, they have plenty of cash to have bought Nortel without breaking a sweat unlike Avaya... to show what the outcome will eventually be for this ill conceived desperate gamble Cisco will ultimately dominate, as usual.

    Interesting Avaya said thanks but no thanks to an earlier offer of a buyout when Nortel was looking at Telabs, they made a smart move then (judging by Nortel's share price) and wonder how they could have made such a really dumb one now... if they even recover their initial investment at all let alone in many years like trying to nurse something on palliative care back to health. Would require another "miracle", something Nortel has been short of.
  • bankrupt_bob
    <<Either way, today marks the end of a telecom dynasty, and the beginning of a new one.>>

    disqus-ting!
  • KayToo
    So if all the units sold except for the LTE holding would debtors be satisfied so that a fledgling Phoenix of a Nortel could rise from the ashes based on LTE technology?
  • borissss
    Who do you think will buy Nortel's LTE gear in the next 5 years even if they have the best equipment?There seems to be no Nortel (even ashes) in 2011.Sad but true.
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