BT’s PBT Plans in Doubt

LightReading is reporting that BT Group’s Provider Backbone Transport plans may be in flux as a new management team reviews the company’s 21CN project. This could see more emphasis on MPLS to deliver Ethernet service as opposed to PBT.

After initially being left out of the $10-billion 21CN project, Nortel got its foot in the door when BT awarded PBT equipment deals to it and Siemens last year.

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  • commentor

    This is expected.

    Nortel sales teams are too slow in pushing PBT beyond this single T1 customer. And even with BT, the PBT deployment is not huge. There is no mention to any specific dollars in any Nortel-BT annoucement because from day one, this PBT BT win looks too small. PBT is just a software feature on an aging Ethernet Routing Switch platform. Nortel does not support PBT on any other access or core product, hence they have to rely on the tier2 or teir3 eco-system to complement their PBT solution. Some of the ecosystem members may eat NT's lunch soon if they develop and end to end PBT offering.

    Just wondering if the newly promoted Pangia sold any PBT in Asia before he gets this promotion?

  • many

    IMO this would be too bad.

    Dumbed down switched (connection oriented) Ethernet (PBT/PBB) is a good idea. MPLS has 1) a fair amount of transport overhead and 2) complexities in management (complex if you really want to take advantage of QoS etc…). My initial blush was that it should be considerably cheaper (cost per bit) both from a deployment and a lifecycle perpective.

    If there is only one vendor, then who knows…..but it is simpler and dedicates more B/W to revenue generating traffic than MPLS.

  • Apple

    http://www.lightreading.com/document.asp
    But a lot has changed at BT in the past year. The company reorganized itself, began an overhaul of its 21CN processes, and saw the departure of a number of key executives. (See BT Revamps, Creates New Units , Upheaval at BT's 21CN?, Green Leaves BT, Verwaayen Set to Leave BT, and Reynolds Leaving BT to Run TNZ.)
    Now there's a new team making key network and technology decisions, and that's prompted a rethink about a number of issues, including the role of PBT in the 21CN, according to sources.
    Those re-evaluations prompted BT to issue a new ITT (invitation to tender) for Ethernet technology about a month ago, which, according to industry sources, has a much greater emphasis on MPLS as the underlying network technology for the delivery of Ethernet services, and a decreased emphasis on PBT compared to previous ITTs.
    If that is the outcome, it would be disappointing news for Nortel, PBT's chief tub-thumper, and a relief for the trio of MPLS equipment vendors involved in 21CN –
    ——————–
    Conclusion
    We have seen hype and the burst of that PBT bubble the bubble made by Nortel’s propaganda!
    It took 2 years for customers to finally figure it out!
    Customers are very angry at vendors who misled them about PBT.
    Read
    http://www.lightreading.com/document.asp?doc_id…
    and
    NT hyped PBT as low cost alternative solution to MPLS
    but the real life_ implementation shows much higher cost at the end…than expected
    What happened in Italy?
    read and educate yourself… as Nortel is in trouble there..

    The Future of Carrier Ethernet: Eastern Europe 2007 — Carriers looking into the potential of PBT (Provider Backbone Transport) are uncovering hidden costs related to the management of the emerging Carrier Ethernet technology, according to one of the speakers at Tuesday's Ethernet Expo event here in Poland. (See Ethernet Hits Warsaw and PBT: New Kid on the Metro Block.)

    When asked about the relative costs of like-for-like MPLS and PBT metro network deployments, Phil Tilley, VP of marketing for the IP division of Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU – message board)'s Carrier Business Group, said “all the talk about PBT is hypothetical because no one knows how much it will cost to deploy once the control plane and management costs are added. The costs will start rising.”
    cut
    On paper the boxes are cheaper, but in an end-to-end solution we just don't know the cost,” said the AlcaLu man — whose company, while claiming to be technology agnostic, is experiencing significant success and market traction with its MPLS-based routers and is among PBT's main critics. (See AlcaLu: PBT Is Peripheral and AlcaLu Expands Alwan's Role.)

    “Some carriers have looked at the cost with management and are rethinking the whole thing,” added Tilley, without identifying any operators.

    cut
    According to industry sources, BT has encountered some PBT service set-up problems in Italy, where it is deploying PBT initially using Nortel Networks Ltd. (NYSE/Toronto: NT – message board) Ethernet switches. BT is also believed to be finding that the costs associated with PBT deployments are not quite as attractive as first envisaged,

  • many

    Apple,

    I read the article. Not very much in the way of specifics, lots of hyperbole. Please point to the differences and tensions that is being talking about. Because the article was so short on specifics, I did some reading between the lines below, not sure if I am correct, but…………

    MPLS and Ethernet can and do coexist in networks today, and will in the future. If carriers need “more simplicity, not more complexity” then Ethernet is clearly less complex than MPLS. Right now I completely agree that carriers are using capacity to avoid complexity, I disagree with the seeming implication that bandwidth is and will remain plentiful. I think (for a couple of reasons) that the surplus bandwidth at least in North America will be a thing of the past in the next year. Putting those two things together it seems to me there is a significant lifecycle cost in the already deployed MPLS networks that has not been seen yet. In short the same argument being made by Tilly above could easily be applied to MPLS in a capacity rich network.

    I also agree with the economics of the statement “”In the past there's been no real reason why a service based on Cisco or Juniper [technology] has been more expensive than a service based on Ciena or Infinera.” Again, this should also be a compelling reason to look at PBT/PBB.

    In my experience, MPLS introduces a lot of overhead for very littlie benefit out of the box. In order to effectively deploy and accurately measure the performance of MPLS in a large scale network, additional and very expensive management tools must be deployed.

    Nortel may indeed be in trouble here, but I don't think it is a result of the technology.

  • commentor

    Many. great add. I totally agree with the last statement, well said.

    PBT as technology is needed, and will for sure find supporters and adopters. The article talks about PBT cost savings. Most of PBT cost savings is OPEX (and yes it is much simpler than MPLS), but if the platform it runs on is not price competitive (CAPEX) this will put the whole business case in question. For NT as a vendor, I question the price competitiveness of the aging ERS platform. I also question the fact that only ERS supports PBT (what about other products on the access side?). PBT as a solution today is fragmented and Carriers need to go to multiple vendors to get the benefit. There is not single vendor who claim they have the whole story, so yes, it is still early to see full PBT deployments or large wins by a single vendor.

  • ex-nortel

    Nortel's inability to deliver a new platform with added functionality for providing PBT capabilities has doomed their chances of making PBT a significant revenue generator. The 'ghost' of neptune returns and is laughing very loudly. The ERS is an old and obsolete platform, the Tasman product set is simply a commodity set of low end routers with no density or performance, and there is nothing else that Nortel has to provide a dense, robust, price-performing platform.

    Too many Nortel customers limped thru the numerous debacles with Shasta platforms to be suckered into putting a revenue generating service on an old obsolete Nortel platform. Time to start ratching down Nortel's 2009 & 2010 numbers.

  • many

    Commentator and ex-nortel. I battled the same issues when I was there many years ago. Despite what Phil and John Roese say in their blogs, there *still* is an NIH mentality when it comes to hardware at nortel, . In the early 1990's I could not believe that nortel insisted (for example) to re invent commodity hardware and firmware for existing platforms such as low end routing and NIC cards, when they were commercially available for less than we could make the powerpoint.

    One point that I have to concede to certain product managers is that if nortel can (big if) deliver PBT/PBB on the existing installed base in a cost effective manner, then it makes sense to do that for existing carriers. Nortel has a large (and rapidly shrinking) installed base of Passport (for example). OTOH there is real savings in real estate, power and air conditioning with newer hardware and it is difficult to justify keeping the “big iron” in place. So in short, I concede the argument about “evergreen” hardware being a competitive advantage to a point, however I think for most carriers that point is past or about to pass.

    Neptune was a disaster because there was too much money thrown at it. The result of too much money is always to bring all sorts of product manager vultures to the table to drag their ideas and products through. The result was a “god box” with no clear market focus or purpose at a very high cost.

    Shasta was a decent idea ahead of its time, but the software was very unreliable (hardware not much better) and needed serious attention. Unfortunately Nortel's heavy handed management style drove anyone who knew anything about it out the door. So they were left to reverse engineer. Of course this could not be done in time to save the reputation of the product.

    All that is ancient history, but it looks to me like the Nortel “Chief History Officer” is a co-op :)

  • many

    Commentor, sorry I misspelled your name in my last post :)

  • rizcorpl

    This sounds like an echo of an earlier LightReading rumour that ended-up being refuted.

  • rizcorpl

    This sounds like an echo of an earlier LightReading rumour that ended-up being refuted.

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