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    Bigger Q4 Loss; Smaller Nortel

    By Mark Evans | February 27, 2008

    Nortel’s fourth-quarter results produced nothing too exciting after taking into account a $1.04-billion tax-related charge.

    The far more interesting development is a plan to slash another 2,100 jobs - something that has been hitting the rumor mill in recent weeks - while moving another 1,000 positions to “higher growth and lower cost geographies”.

    Is this the sign that Nortel is resigned to becoming a smaller, but profitable, player in the telecom space? Does it suggest that it’s going to become a second-tier, niche supplier while Cisco, Ericsson, Alcatel-Lucent and perhaps Huawei become the tier-one suppliers.

    Here’s an early take on the results by UBS Securities:

    “Revenues lower than expected; Gross Margin in-line Revenues/Gross Margin (GM) of $3.198B/43.7%, compared to UBSe of $3.318B/43.6%, consistent with our expectations going into the Qtr. of downside risk to Revenues but in-line GM. Adjusted, Non-GAAP Operating margin of 7.6% was lower than UBSe of 9.8%, on higher opex (36.1% of sales vs. UBSe of 33.8%).

    OM in Enterprise and Optical remained at the break-even level, showing no meaningful progress. Nortel profitability continues to be driven by CDMA. Enterprise, Optical Networks miss UBSe; No surprise in 2008 guidance Enterprise and Optical Networks revenues came in lower thanour estimates, while Carrier Networks revenues were in-line and Services higher, benefiting from timing of project completion. Management guided to 2008 revenue growth of low-single digits y/y and gross margins of 43%, consistent with our current estimates (subject to revision) of 2.5% y/y growth in revenues and 43% GM.”

    UBS rates Nortel as a “neutral” with a $15 target price that is now under review.

    Update: Duncan Stewart has a column in today’s National Post about Nortel and the perils of joint ventures. As well, here’s a Globe & Mail story on the results.

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    Topics: Financials |